Turning into “Paper Tigers” From the very beginning of the war against Ukraine, Putin has tried to implement the Kremlin’s version of the conc. pt of “extended deterrence.” By threatening the possible …

May 12, 2026 · The United States and Israel launched coordinated military operations against the Iranian regime on February 28, 2026. The action, focused on the regime's nuclear facilities, military …

Nuclear escalation is the concept in military theory that describes the process by which a conventional conflict changes into a nuclear war due to the use of nuclear weaponry by one or both sides of the …

Concrete movement in risk reduction would contribute to greater trust among the ‘great powers’, including towards the reshaping of nuclear doctrine and escalation strategies (and perceptions …

Concrete movement in risk reduction would contribute to greater trust among the ‘great powers’, including towards the reshaping of nuclear doctrine and escalation strategies (and perceptions …

Jun 22, 2023 · NATO’s response and the poor performance of Russia’s conventional military forces are likely to provoke adaptation in Russia’s strategic thinking. In the last decade, Russia’s move to …

Apr 17, 2025 · Our experts diagnose acute risks stemming from technical and geopolitical developments, generate pragmatic solutions, and use our global network to advance risk-reduction …

Dec 6, 2025 · Military and political leaders use escalation models to evaluate threat levels, predict adversary behavior, and determine proportional responses. The concept emphasizes the importance …

Nov 15, 2024 · This Guidance directly informs DoD's development of nuclear employment options for consideration by the President in extreme circumstances and establishes requirements that shape …

cle analyses a process of escalation management over time between nuclear states under conditions of radical uncertainty. After Russia in aded Ukraine, President Vladimir Putin manipulated uncertainty to …